US Election 2024: Why It Matters for Canadian Mortgages Rates

Barb PInsent • November 19, 2024

The U.S. election season often impacts the Canadian economy, especially interest rates. Here’s what you need to know about recent developments and predictions for Canadian mortgage rates.

How U.S. Politics Influence Canadian Rates

Political shifts in the U.S. can lead to economic ripples in Canada, affecting our exchange rate, investment flows, and interest rates. Recently, fixed mortgage rates in Canada have seen a slight uptick, reflecting investor uncertainty. On the other hand, variable rates are expected to dip further, as the Bank of Canada (BoC) predicts lower rates in December to support the economy.

Why Are Fixed Rates Up?

Fixed mortgage rates in Canada are largely influenced by bond yields, which have risen due to U.S. economic signals. When markets feel uncertain about the U.S. political landscape, it can lead to higher bond yields and, consequently, higher fixed rates here in Canada.

What About Variable Rates?

The BoC’s stance on variable rates could be different. Variable rates often mirror the BoC’s overnight rate, which some analysts predict could see a cut in December. This potential cut is in response to economic gaps between Canada and the U.S., aiming to increase borrowing and spending in Canada.

What Should Homeowners and Buyers Expect?

If you’re considering a new mortgage or renewing an existing one, it’s essential to understand these dynamics. Fixed rates may remain elevated due to U.S. influences, but variable rates might offer a lower-cost option in the short term, with potential BoC cuts on the horizon.

Stay Informed

Staying updated on these developments is crucial. The BoC’s next interest rate announcement is scheduled for December 11, 2024. According to a recent article, "The Bank of Canada is expected to implement a significant half-point rate cut, reducing the policy rate to 3.75% following three previous reductions, in response to inflation falling below its 2% target and a sluggish economy."


The Wall Street Journal

Contact Us

If you’d like to explore the best mortgage option for you, reach out at 780-370-1490 or email barb@barbpinsent.com.

By Barb PInsent March 7, 2025
Let’s be real—2020 was a great time to buy a home. Prices were lower, and mortgage rates were sitting at 2.84% . But if you didn’t buy then, you’re not alone. Many people hesitated, waiting for the “perfect” time to enter the market. Now, home prices are higher, rates have fluctuated, and some buyers are still waiting. But here’s the truth: there is no perfect time to buy—only the right time for you. Barbara Corcoran @barbaracorcoran puts it:
By Barb PInsent February 19, 2025
When choosing a mortgage, many borrowers focus on getting the lowest interest rate. But what happens if life throws a curveball and you need to break your mortgage early? The penalty for breaking a mortgage can be significant—sometimes wiping out any savings you gained from a lower rate. That’s why it’s important to weigh your options carefully.
By Barb PInsent February 7, 2025
Is the Economy Going to Crash? What Canadian Homebuyers Need to Know
By Barb PInsent January 21, 2025
With all the uncertainty surrounding Canada’s proposed capital gains tax changes, many property owners are asking, "Do I have to pay capital gains if I sell my house?" or "Should I sell my investment property before the tax rules change?" In June 2024 , the federal government proposed increasing the capital gains inclusion rate —the portion of capital gains that is taxable. This change could significantly impact investors and property owners selling secondary residences, rental properties, or cottages. But here’s the challenge: the rules haven’t been finalized yet. As Jamie Golombek explains in a recent Financial Post article , “Uncertainty remains as to what the final capital gains tax rules will look like, or even if they will be implemented at all.” Despite this uncertainty, the Canada Revenue Agency (CRA) has announced it will proceed with collecting taxes based on the proposed higher inclusion rate until a final decision is made. This means that even if you sell now, you could still face a larger tax bill. If the rules are later changed or rejected, the CRA may adjust tax filings—but in the meantime, selling could cost you more than you expect. The good news? Selling isn’t your only option. If you need access to cash or want to better manage your finances, refinancing or exploring alternative lending solutions could provide the flexibility you need—without triggering a large tax bill.
By Barb PInsent January 7, 2025
The start of a new year inspires us to set ambitious goals, from getting fit to saving more money. But did you know that most people abandon their resolutions just 36 days into the year? That’s right—by early February, many of us have already fallen back into old habits.
By Barb PInsent December 19, 2024
The Bank of Canada recently made headlines by cutting its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points, a move aimed at providing relief to borrowers and stimulating economic growth. This rate cut—the second in recent months—is a game-changer for homeowners and prospective buyers alike. As your trusted mortgage broker, we’re here to break down what this means for you and how it could impact your financial decisions.
By Barb PInsent December 5, 2024
When it comes to financing a home, amortization is a key term mortgage brokers often discuss with their clients. While shorter amortization periods are common in Canada, the concept of a 30-year amortization has gained traction among some buyers and brokers. This blog dives into what it is, its benefits, its drawbacks, and when it might make sense for you or your clients.
By Barb PInsent October 21, 2024
Moving to a new country is a big step, and finding a place to call your own can make settling in even more rewarding. For newcomers to Canada, the journey of purchasing a home can feel both exciting and overwhelming. This guide is here to help you navigate the process of buying a home in Canada, providing a clear roadmap and essential tips to make your homeownership dreams a reality.
By Barb PInsent October 3, 2024
Over the past few months, the Canadian government has introduced significant changes to mortgage rules, aiming to make homeownership more accessible. These changes, set to take effect on December 15, 2024, address pain points in the existing system and offer potential solutions for homebuyers, especially first-timers and those seeking new builds.
By Barb PInsent August 21, 2024
The Canadian real estate market is on the cusp of a significant shift. As we approach 2025, homeowners, especially investors and those with second homes purchased during the COVID-19 pandemic, face a challenging reality. Rising interest rates are set to dramatically increase mortgage payments, potentially making those once-affordable properties a financial burden.
View All Blog Entries
Share by: